After a long time (5 days), I am posting. I am not sure of why I posted or did not post? The fact of life is, you think something is good for you, then you are all set to implement it. You realize in the mid way that something else was good.
The problem starts here. If in the mid way I realize that what I have chosen is not what I wanted to choose, we may have the option to go back, or we may have no other option left. Then what happens later....
This conflict does not arise when the chose path was followed by many. The conflict is very strong only when the chosen path is not tried and tested. Wait! I read this before. Yes I am right. This was something that I am feeling today. But this is very similar to the things that Robert Frost felt about 91 years back. "The Road Not Taken".
Many times I felt that the decision I had taken was wrong. I should have gone with the other choice. This feeling is very strong when the chances of success in the selected choice is very high. This is what confuses me. The evidence shows that there is more success in this choice. But the intuition says the other way. In such a case I find it practically impossible to take a decision.
I am in this state currently. Should see what I will do.
Sunday, December 11, 2005
Wednesday, December 07, 2005
Perception error
In everything that we perceive there is an error. This error is due to inherent biases that we have.
Recently I had experienced a self serving bias. A peculiar analytical problem was to be solved. The whole batch was given the problem. I was one of those very few people who could say that they have solved the problem.
I went on a little further, I also convinced others that it was correct. I was very happy that I was correct.
Today, a friend of mine asks for the solution, he go throughs it and comes up with places where it would fail.
Now the perception that the problem was solved changes. So, the problem is solved only till no one else can point out that the there is a problem with the solution.
Forget me, consider most famous things. Consider the larger things, the discoveries that are proposed are accepted as benchmarks and are taken for granted. Once another discovery comes saying that the discovery is incorrect/incomplete. Now, the discoverer is pushed out of credit. And this would also happen to the new discoverer, but a little late.
Examples of Geocentric universe, every one liked it, they accpeted it to be universal truth. Later, a really courageous person comes out with a differring opinion, viz. Heliocentric. Now we all know and accept that it is helio centric. Later, it could be changed to some other thing when there is more available information.
Recently I had experienced a self serving bias. A peculiar analytical problem was to be solved. The whole batch was given the problem. I was one of those very few people who could say that they have solved the problem.
I went on a little further, I also convinced others that it was correct. I was very happy that I was correct.
Today, a friend of mine asks for the solution, he go throughs it and comes up with places where it would fail.
Now the perception that the problem was solved changes. So, the problem is solved only till no one else can point out that the there is a problem with the solution.
Forget me, consider most famous things. Consider the larger things, the discoveries that are proposed are accepted as benchmarks and are taken for granted. Once another discovery comes saying that the discovery is incorrect/incomplete. Now, the discoverer is pushed out of credit. And this would also happen to the new discoverer, but a little late.
Examples of Geocentric universe, every one liked it, they accpeted it to be universal truth. Later, a really courageous person comes out with a differring opinion, viz. Heliocentric. Now we all know and accept that it is helio centric. Later, it could be changed to some other thing when there is more available information.
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