Monday, October 31, 2011

Is this the FM a leading Emerging Economy can afford?

In my unusual inebriated state of mind, I was casually going through a news item on my favourite news paper "Google News - Business" section on 31-Oct-2011 at about 22:45 hrs. The first news items caught my mind - obviously, being a Relationship Manager in an Indian Bank, I would be focusing my news on issues relating to "interest rate scenario", "inflation", "exchange rate", "industrial index of production", "euro crisis", and such similar or related news articles.

So, my eyes caught the first news item on the Business section of Google News at this time viz., "Inflation to ease soon, says Pranab Mukherjee" on TOI published at Oct 31, 2011, 10.17PM IST

It spoke of one of the statements made by Finance Minister of my country (India) on the RBI's decision last week to raise key policy rates for the thirteenth time since March, 2010, to tame the rate of price rise. Mr. Mukherjee said, "There was some liquidity excess which was required to be mopped up and through the adjustment of interest rates, efforts have been made to mop it up."

My basics tell me that there are two simple and straight forwards tools that RBI (any Central Bank for that matter) uses as part of Monetary Policy. They are 1) Interest Rate - via Repo and Reverse Repo Rates [Increase in rates would make credit available at higher costs] and b) Liquidity - via Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) [Increase in CRR would mop up liquidity from the economy and any decrease would release liquidity into the economy]. I am still not able to understand how Mr. Mukherjee could say that an increase in interest rates would mop up excess liquidity in the system.

With such people becoming FMs to one of the leading Emerging Economies, what would be the fate of Fiscal Policy Interventions, Much needed Reforms, and the aspiration of the people of the nation to become one of the economic super powers.